| 18:13 |
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now your making me blush lol!!
Im not going to slate flyers as to me he is trading technically or viewing fomr a technical stand point and im no where near good enough to even challenge on that.
I just have my views on hawk and the economics of where we are, and more disturbingly how fast sentiment changes..
i am just trying to reason my stand point and ill be first to admit im wrong if im wrong.
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| 18:09 |
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| 17:02 |
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Hey 'Brilliant NM 1' look what you've done now, is this a tactic to get flyers confused talking politics instead of charts. With his poor grasp of the English he sure will get in a muddle now. Good idea but you know this lot, will prattle on for hours on any topic whilst Hawk idles it's time in the doldrums. Let's hear more of your little gems about Hawk, you sure have some up your sleeve, and all most interesting stuff. Where did you say you worked? Tell them to give you a 'happy hour' to give us more info.
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| 16:59 |
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Another ex public schoolboy who is all show & no substance, yes, that's exactly what the country needs - we have only just gotten rid of the last one.
Thank god us Scots will soon be independent!
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| 16:45 |
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Not only Brown. MPs, no matter how short their tenure, get tremendous pensions. And tomorrow they start their eleven weeks holiday.
Pity the workers. MPs are fat cats in disguise. Meeow!!!
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| 16:37 |
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Brown had a spend spend spend mentality whilst blatantly lying and saying prudence was at the fore of his policies. He chastises the UK citizen for their over spending and reliance on credit - but I wonder which one of us will walk away with a big fat public sector pension scheme (final salaried and index linked) and which one of us will be paying increased taxes forever more......
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| 16:18 |
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Brown and Darling are just like the markets. When everything is fine all is rosy or the price of everything goes up.
When it is bad, its the fault of everyone else, usually the US.
Sadly, the comment "didn't mend the roof when the sun shore" is completely appropriate. Its rather like preserving capital to use the markets turn.
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| 16:08 |
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Totaly agree - Taxman and Boy Blunder (Brown and his Darling) can't go quick enough in my opinion.
If I was a Tory (what am I saying? I am) I wouldn't want to win the next election because its going to take 5 years to sort out the mess left by labour yet again.......
Labour really is bad for this country in every way imaginable.
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| 16:05 |
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At any of the prices mentioned Hawk will be making alot of cash, i cant see what difference it makes the price will still be higher than this in 6 months time IMHO. i dont however believe a word goldmans says on oil they simply talk their book. They have bought the entire output of some oil fields between the years 2009-2014, they did it 2 years ago at about $40 a barrel, and have since spent their time ramping for all their worth-$250 per barrel etc.
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| 15:50 |
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| 15:41 |
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| 15:36 |
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| 15:34 |
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Flyers, I always take everyone's opinion into account, unless they are three word posts with no commentary, or when downright rude.
Hope you are right - the fuel oil price is crippling
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| 15:33 |
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bright new man one
realy realy we do not want any wars for the sake of the price of oil
they are going to solve that problem peacefully
I HOPE AND PRAY
but if it has to be done it will be done
good luck
i can see your bdev are doing very well as well as your bank stocks
sit tight with them
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| 15:29 |
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thank you tad
you are correct i may be right on oil and alot of other things as well
banks are staging a major raly today
i think it may last for a number of weeks if oil keeps coming down
they have been battered to much for too long
keep an eye on vectura group
good luck all
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| 15:24 |
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Thans newwy
I suppose for every bullish opinion there is a bearish one. I like to hear all opinions and then make up my mind.
I'm putting off buying the heating oil at present on the hope of a fall!!!
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| 15:23 |
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| 15:20 |
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HI Tad
The analyst who wrot that changes his views every week
Goldmans think the opposite....current track record i back GS over Lb at mo
Heres something you guys might find interesting quite old now had it for a while
Also of general interest: Lehmans just met with Jami Miscik - ex CIA deputy and advisor to white house etc etc (one of Lehman's senior non execs) talking about the iran issue. Basically, Israel quite capable for going it alone, 25% chance they do before election. They'll do a quick premptive strike on a few of Iran's key facilities and back again, Iran will respond by similar quick couple of strikes. US unlikely to support this as they think Iran not "that bad" and years behind curve on weapon grade fuel. Pakistan is danger spot for now - and will sell nuclear weapons to iran if requested
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| 14:55 |
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I picked this up from www.investegate.co.uk
"Lehman Brothers oil analysts expect oil prices to fall to an average $110 per barrel by the fourth quarter of 2008.
A note to clients said: “The deteriorating demand picture reinforces our belief that oil prices are approaching a tipping point, with prices expected to average $110/bbl in 4Q08, and a further decline to a more supportable $90/bbl by 1Q09.”
The research lists evidence of “demand demolition” in developed economies saying that the “surprising continued strength of China” is not enough to offset their belief that the “world demand balance has weakened significantly.”
The research says that in the US vehicle miles travelled are down 2.1%. It also says that more of those miles are travelled in more efficient vehicles with SUV and luxury pick-up sales taking 13% of the market compared to 18% last year.
The note says that weekly figures show falls in demand for distillate, jet fuel and fuel oil - 1.8%,2.65% and 14.38% respectively. But adds that, so far this year, weekly figures “have not captured the true extent of lower demand” and expect monthly figures to show more significant falls.
It says that demand from Europe is hard to read as this year’s cold weather was much colder than last year but still warmer than normal. As a result heating sales have been 18% stronger than last year. However Germans only hold 45% capacity in their heating oil tanks. So a cold winter, or a decision to stock-up, could prove “a boon for demand”.
The outage of a Japanese nuclear power plant last year prompted a spike in Japanese oil demand. The note said it would be several years before the seven reactors at the Kashiwazaki nuclear plant are all operational but said that oil demand elsewhere in Japan is contracting.
According to the note, Lehman’s China economist sees Chinese growth in the second half of 2008 at 2.5% lower than the same period in 2007. The oil demand note said: “The near-term picture still looks strong with power shortages and Olympic stockpiling, but demand spikes look limited and the longer-term trend looks to moderate.”
The note says: “Looking ahead, the picture continues to be a tale of two worlds, with further expected contraction in the OECD offsetting much of the strong non-OECD demand growth. We do, however, expect demand to moderate in China and India.”
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| 14:42 |
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