Read Stockdale Securities's note on SYNECTICS, out this morning, by visiting https://www.research-tree.com/company/GB0007156838
"Since Paul Webb assumed the CEO role in February 2015, Synectics has seen a profits recovery, which accelerated in H2 2015 and led it to marginally exceed our forecasts for 2015 with adj. PBT of £1.6m vs £1.5m and net cash of £0.5m vs £0.3m. The proposed final dividend of 1.0p was in line with the guidance in the trading update but was ahead of our prior expectations. There remains understandable caution with respect to the Oil & Gas exposure, although the increased investment, mainly in transport & infrastructure, augurs well for the future...."
Read Stockdale Securities's note on SYNECTICS, out this morning, by visiting https://www.research-tree.com/company/GB0007156838
"Synectics has had a strong start to the year in terms of major orders won and the groups total order book has increased by over 28% to £34.2m at end March 2016 compared to the £26.6m at end November 2015. As a consequence, the boards expectations are that results for the full year remain in line with market forecasts although there will be a greater secondhalf weighting than usual ..."
.... and down, down it goes on very little trading. Surely there must be some very bad news in the pipeline for this company to go from £5 at the start of the year to £1.45 trading today? The fundamentals look very sound and the products sort after. Whatever is the MAJOR problem? HELP!!
I really don't understand this. In very simple terms:
Number of shares = 15,929,000
Share Holders Funds = £39,542,000
So, that means each share is covered by £2.48 cash value? - forgetting the rest of the business's worth.
Why then is it currently trading at £1.60?? Seems like a real bargain to me!! In for some more.
Well it looks like this Company's results for this year are going to be far below expectations but does this also mean that this is a very bad time to average down. Fundamentals look sound and the product base excellent. Customers and dividend loss a bit iffy!! For me it's time to invest another slug of of my hard earned cash with crossed fingers because I hate chasing a falling knife!! All IMVHO.
* Bookmark the links if you wish to 'pass the LINK/s on'.... or read later?
Deramping SHORTERS !
Shorting a rising stock....is much worse when it is done by your resident posters that seemingly are your buddies and convince 'long' holders to give up!
What many pi's fail to grasp is the extent that shorting is taking place. Often we tend to think that the 'shorter' is gone, 'he' is out of the way? You'd be wrong in most cases, for ( he ), the shorter, is often joined by others that keep the stock down !
Some stocks fall after GOOD NEWS!
Shorting or normal profit taking?
The main reason for many pi's selling, is they are afraid they'll be left in losses AND because of the fear of shorters !
Consolidating shares often sees the sp fall as the multi-bagger potential is greatly reduced. Shorters know this and 'get their digs in' with a distinct advantage
Quindell has consolidated 15 for 1 and guess what? The shares are tanking! Probably being shorted again and not just by the professionals. Ordinary investors are having a go as well (if you can't beat 'em....?).
BUT, where does that leave the genuine investor that has put stocks like QPP into their pension funds?...holding losses again!
* Once pi's know the stock is being shorted...they'll SELL UP IN THEIR DROVES !
We can't both WIN !
The 'shorts' therefore 'win' their bets, whereas the 'longs' lose the best part of their investment, possibly for some time to come......and just when you thought this couldn't go any lower, THEY'LL SHORT THE STOCK AGAIN !
* Thanks for all your support. We are now heading towards 5,000 votes!
* Investors are saying something? They are voting in their hundreds !
# The big problem with shorting is that THEY (the shorters) WOULD most likely lose most of their money IF they just 'bet' on the price going down without trying to 'help' it down?
'Catch 22' .... No one would know of an RNS to be released that will contain BAD NEWS, if they did and then 'shorted' the stock, then they are guilty of 'insider trading'.
The only sure way to short a stock and WIN is to spread dis-information to defame the company with help from other posters that are in concert with them. To ENSURE that they don't lose the biggest part of their 'short', ironically, then, they must deramp with (seemingly) believable posts.
* When the pro's do it, they simply get the media or well known 'crooked' tipsters, analysts or brokers to do it for them. (say no more).
# The campaign against shorting is for the benefit of the 'cheated' investors that cannot control their investments due to the dirty tricks played out by co-ordinated shorting !
The results will be reviewed by Govt legislators for further action! The FCA will be asked by Davide Serra to conduct an investigation into short selling practices, with the view to either ban short selling, or to be better regulated !
It is estimated that over 90% of AIM stocks are INFECTED by short-sellers !
# IF you were a short-seller, BLUFFING, (basically manipulating a shares' price) about a company's overvalued share price, you might not want to *draw attention to yourself since you could get accused of stock manipulation. So you would hope (OR PLAN FOR) others to get involved and to present SEEMINGLY GOOD REASONS to short the stock.
You would want to put AS MUCH FEAR INTO 'LONGS' as possible and would use high volume short trading as well as buying to drive the share price down as low as you can and as long as you can. You really want the longs to fold and to get out of the game. If you are consistently seeing sellers overwhelming buyers driving a share price down as a stock seems to be going up, I can assure you it's probably shorts' selling, since longs are totally motivated to sell their shares at the highest possible selling price. #
IT is easier to tank a share price, rather than make it go UP, by short-selling.
RUINOUS to genuine investors.
They may be able to buy in cheap BUT what's the good, if the stock never really recovers?
AND when they have got you all hooked on the 'lovely' new all-time LOW.....They'll SHORT IT AGAIN !
# ChalieHarper - posted on iii
IF a fund owns a large share holding in a firm and is long.... whilst waiting for its end game to materialise, it loans out any number of its shares to a shorter...the shorter then manipulate the share price down making £X amount when short ended.... the shorter then gives the loaned shares back and splits the proceeds 50/50.
They both make cash, probably during a time when not much is happening with the sp. IT's a WIN-WIN for them but BAD news for the pi's who as usual may have sold at a loss because the cash has to come from somewhere. #
# Axo posted on iii...
These are the kind of people that Winnifreth & Co like to associate with. They aren't helping anyone, and they're a part of a growing awful trend where large short positions open a number of weeks BEFORE a DAMNING REPORT is revealed that completely tanks an SP well before the article could even be reasonably digested.
I would posit that Gotham City research hold even less credibility than Edelman, and yet their research note was apparently convincing enough to knock 50% off the QPP SP in under one hour.
No-one of any note would have stumbled across their 74 page smear. Why would they? It was Gotham's 6th piece of research (term used very loosely) and absolutely no-one I have spoken to had ever heard of them. As such, they held zero credibility and had no natural exposure. It was disseminated beforehand with exacting purpose. #
Momentum is gathering pace and this campaign is moving faster than was ever anticipated !
Thanks to all of you that voted and POSTED over the link/s.
# The fact that these e-petitions require 100,000 signatures is not so important. THAT figure is required in order to get the GOVERNMENT to take ACTION!
Our aim is for the FCA to ACT and we believe THEY WILL do so, on LESS votes required by GOVT. We can expect votes only from the financial fraternity. Other e-petition campaigns DRAW votes from the WHOLE population !
12,000 votes is possible and that is our TARGET !
MP and adviser to the GOVT on banking, Davide Serra is lobbying Parliament to ACT ! http://goo.gl/5ZvXAU
Comment from the outlook statement: 'taken together, these factors lead the Board to expect another good performance in 2014, with results likely to be at a similar level to 2013'. Brokers have pencilled in 27% growth in PBT for 2014 and it sounds like that might be difficult based on the chairman's view that results are likely to be similar to 2013...
SNX came out quite well in my evaluation programme, so I did not consider the investment a gamble. However, it would not be the first time a share has dropped substantially after I have made an investment. One tends to get a bit paranoid sometimes!
Take Gable Holdings (GAH). I made an initial investment @ ~70p early last June. It then slumped down to ~45p by the end of June. It looked an over-reaction to me so I added more at ~55p and ~45p. It climbed back to ~65p by the end of July, and although it dipped again slightly it is now at ~78p, so I am not too unhappy with it.
I am hopeful that today's SNX reaction is a little too severe and that the sp will, given some time, return to the 500 to 550 level and then continue to rise. If it has not recovered in the next 6 months or so I will re-evaluate my holding. I agree that now is not the time to sell, it is better to wait a little and see how things pan out.
I ended up about 18% for 2013, and have managed about 5.5% so far in 2014, so am not too worried about this minor setback on one stock.
Hi Bowman-it's called a gamble-that didn't come off! Unwilling to sell at this price so will wait a while. Lost much more 'paper money' in the last few days on qpp; but at least got utw right! Am hoping things will improve in the next month or so.jd
Having only purchased on Monday (or was that a top up of an existing holding?), you now appear quite negative for SNX. Does this mean you have now bailed out, or are you holding for a possible rebound?
I am very tempted to use this dip as an opportunity to reduce my average holding price.
Simple -thinly traded. Unexciting results-very early in the day. Very poor buy by me, plenty other fish in the pond -try mro or ppc or moni or utw if you want steady gains over the next couple of months. jd
The results and the news of new business should move the share price upwards, the market prices what it thinks the company will do in the future, i am sure the share holders of QDG will see the target price raised by the analysts, and 20% above the 300p target is very easily achieved in the short term, so i expect good reviews and a higher re-rating on the share price.
Good to see a company with its directors showing that good quality companies can expand and grow the business, this will be one company to invest in this year.
Still jam tomorrow. I found this uninspiring, maybe I'm missing something. Forward orders give only half year visibility, margins look rubbish, overheads look high. Okay, contrary view is that this is what you would expect for something going through a restructuring. Still, unconvinced enough to sell my holdings. I'm out of this now.
Had a look at the interim statement, definitely a jam tomorrow one, anytime you have supply chain problems it means management have slipped up (that is one of their primary jobs). But if it only results in delayed profits, that's fine. Can't really make a more useful assessment until the finals are announced. I don't like it that they chose a Friday, Friday announcements are usually indicative of "we have bad news, hope the market won't notice cos they're all hungover from the usual Thursday binge".
So all in all, possible upside vs downside worries suggests a hold (@170).
what part of the business is the appointment in? They have just got rid of the sales team in the Quadrant business and apparently there is a full change of strategy to focus around own product.
They have not sorted out the operational part of Quadrant yet and IMHO this should be the next area of focus. The operation in Nottingham is still not a patch on what used to be delivered out of Protec in Watford.
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