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(AFX UK Focus) 2008-11-10 08:47
UPDATE 1-Global crisis to hit UAE loans, real estate
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By Ola Galal

FUJAIRAH, United Arab Emirates, Nov 10 (Reuters) - The UAE faces a slowdown in loan growth and real estate activity in fallout from the global financial crisis, officials in the Gulf state said.
States in the world's biggest oil-exporting region are expecting the global problems to put the brakes on a regional economic boom supported by six years of high oil prices.
But Gulf economies sitting on surplus oil revenues would continue to post growth as they push ahead with a monetary union plan that has gained momentum during the financial turmoil, United Arab Emirates Central Bank Governor Sultan Nasser al-Suweidi said.
"The slowdown will be imposed on us .. in everything we will see contractions," he told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting in Fujairah, one of seven emirates in the UAE federation. "But I think we will still be growing in all directions in a very comfortable way."
His comments echoed those of Mohamed Alabbar, chairman of Dubai-based Emaar Properties, who said growth in the emirate's real estate sector could slow to 9 percent from 13 percent due to the global downturn.
"These sectors are growing aggressively and real demand is coming from here," Alabbar, who is also a member of the Dubai Executive Council, said in comments carried by daily Emirates Business. "Domestic demand for real estate continues to outstrip supply and it will be so for several years."

GULF COORDINATION


The global crisis could bring Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members closer together as five of them, including Saudi Arabia, strive to launch a single currency by a 2010 deadline that had been derailed for years, Suweidi said.
The UAE, which pegs its currency to the dollar, opted not to track the latest U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut to bring local rates closer to levels in other Gulf countries, he said.
"Coordination and cooperation with GCC countries is very important and (their rates) are way above us. We didn't want to create a bigger gap," Suweidi said. "This is in line with our policy to coordinate and to be closer to them in terms of rates."
The UAE's benchmark overnight repurchase rate was left at 1.5 percent after the 50-basis-point U.S. cut on Oct. 29. By contrast, the Kuwaiti benchmark is 4.5 percent and Saudi Arabia's is 4 percent.
"I would say it gives us more enthusiasm and more energy to push forward to achieve monetary union," Suweidi said of the effect of the financial crisis on monetary union plans. Prior to releasing Gulf notes and coins, Gulf states could set the terms of a numerical currency "at any time", he said.
Suweidi also said the UAE central bank had not received any applications for mergers between local banks, despite talk of possible consolidation.
"We haven't received anything," he said. "I think this subject is not on the top of the agenda."
(Writing by Daliah Merzaban; editing by Tony Austin) Keywords: EMIRATES LIQUIDITY/

(daliah.merzaban@thomsonreuters.com; +971 4 391 8301; Reuters Messaging: daliah.merzaban.reuters.com@reuters.net)

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