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(AFX UK Focus) 2009-12-01 10:10
INDICATORS - Slovakia - Dec 1
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(last updated Dec 1)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED*
KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO
rate (pct) 1.00
last changed MAY 7, 2009
former rate (pct) 1.25

---------------------------------------------------------------

SLOVAK REAL GDP FLASH ESTIMATE Q3/09


(pct change y/y) -4.9
(pct change q/q) +1.6

---------------------------------------------------------------

SLOVAK REAL GDP Q2/09 Q1/09 Q2/08 FY/08


(pct change yr/yr) -5.3 -5.6 +7.9 +6.2

Final consumption
Household +0.7 -1.2 +5.7 +6.1
Government +5.9 +1.2 +9.6 +5.3

Gross fixed capital
formation -17.6 -4.1 +11.8 +1.8

Foreign trade balance exports of goods
and services -20.5 -24.3 +8.1 +3.2

imports of goods
and services -21.9 -22.6 +7.7 +3.1

---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP (pct change yr/yr)
FY/2008 +6.2 (+6.4)
FY/2007 +10.6 (+10.4)
FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.3)
FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.6)
FY/2004 +5.0 (+5.2)
FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8)
FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.8)
FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.4)
FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4)

--------------------------------------------------------------

C/A BALANCE SEPT/09 AUG/09


(mln euro) +90.0 +81.0

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FOREIGN TRADE SEPT 09 AUG 09 SEPT 08 JAN-DEC 08

(mln euro)
Imports 3,411.6 2,849.8 4,422.4 50,257.5
Exports 3,790.0 3,132.5 4,428.5 49,543.6
Balance +378.4 +282.7 +6.1 -713.9

DYNAMICS OF TRADE

(pct y/y change)
nominal imports -22.9 -21.4 +8.0 +4.5
nominal exports -14.4 -15.2 +7.1 +4.6

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SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08


pct change mo/mo +0.2 -0.1 +0.3
pct change yr/yr -0.1 0.0 +4.2

SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08


pct change mo/mo +0.1 0.0 +0.4
pct change yr/yr +0.4 +0.6 +5.1

SLOVAK CORE CPI


pct change mo/mo 0.0 -0.1 +0.2
pct change yr/yr -0.8 -0.6 +4.9

---------------------------------------------------------------

  • CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-NOV/09 JAN-NOV/08 FY 2009 PLAN (mln euro)
    revenues 9,260.772 10,193.211 10,971.204
    expenditure 10,836.934 9,875.310 14,125.291
    balance -1,576.162 +317.901 -3,154.087

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    PRODUCER PRICES SEPT/09 AUG/09 SEPT/08


    pct change month/month 0.0 -0.2 +0.6
    pct change year/year -5.2 -4.6 +6.8

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT SEPT 09 AUG 09 SEPT 08


    pct change yr/yr -5.2 -6.3 (-5.7) +0.7

    CONSTRUCTION OUPUT SEPT 09 AUG 09 SEPT 09


    pct change yr/yr -16.9 -0.2 +17.0

    --------------------------------------------------------------

    SELECTED SECTOR SALES SEPT 09 AUG 09 SEPT 08 JAN-DEC 08

    (pct change yr/yr)
    Retail sales -9.2 -9.6 +10.9 +9.1

    Vehicle sales
    and maintenance -19.2 -17.8 +5.0 +7.0

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q2/09 Q1/09 Q2/08 FY/08


    real pct change yr/yr +0.5 +1.6 +4.8 +3.3
    nominal pct change yr/yr +2.8 +4.7 +9.5 +8.1

    SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08


    real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8
    nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08


    pct of workforce 12.40 12.45 7.51
    number of available jobless 328,583 329,860 195,922

    --------------------------------------------------------------- ECONOMIC FORECASTS:

    GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE


    '09 '10 '09 '10 '09 '10
    FinMin -5.7 +1.9 +1.2 +2.6 N/A N/A Sept 23
    NBS -5.6 +2.9 +1.1 +1.8 -5.8 -5.0 Sept 22
    EC -2.6 +0.7 +2.0 +2.4 -7.5 -7.1 May 4
    EBRD -3.5 +0.8 May 7

    Notes: FinMin - Finance Ministry
    NBS - National Bank of Slovakia
    EC - the European Commission
    EBRD - European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

    GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr) EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated under the EU methodology (pct). C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP) DATE - The date of the forecast release.

    (Bratislava Newsroom, 421-2-5341-8402, fax 421-2-5341-8403, editorial@reuters.sk)

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